PUBLICATIONS:
Windschitl, P. D., Rose, J. P., Stalkfleet, M., & Smith, A. R. (in press). Are people excessive or judicious in their egocentrism? A modeling approach to understanding bias and accuracy in people's optimism. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. Abstract; PDF
Rose, J.P., Endo, Y., Windschitl, P.D., Suls, J. (in press). Cultural differences in unrealistic optimism and pessimism: The role of egocentrism and direct vs. indirect comparison measures. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. Abstract; PDF
Chambers, J. R., Epley, N., Savitsky, K., Windschitl, P. D. (in press). Knowing too much: Using private knowledge to predict how one is viewed by others. Psychological Science. Abstract; PDF
Hofmann, W., & Windschitl, P. D. (in press). Judging a group from sampling members: How the subdivision of a minority affects its perceived size and influence. Journal of Social Psychology. Abstract; PDF
Kruger,
J., Windschitl, P. D., Burrus, J., Fessel, F., & Chambers, J. R. (2008).
On the rational side of egocentrism in social comparisons. Journal of Experimental
Social Psychology, 44, 220-232. Abstract;
PDF
Rose, J. P. & Windschitl,
P. D. (2008). How egocentrism and optimism change in response to feedback in
repeated competitions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,
105, 201-220. Abstract; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., Conybeare,
D., & Krizan, Z. (2008). Direct-comparison judgments: When and why above-
and below-average effects reverse. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General,
137, 182-200. Abstract; PDF
Krizan, Z., & Windschitl, P. D. (2007). The influence of outcome desirability on optimism. Psychological Bulletin, 133, 95-121. Abstract ; PDF
Krizan, Z., & Windschitl, P. D. (2007). Team allegiance can lead to both optimistic and pessimistic predictions. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 43, 327-333. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., & Krizan, Z. (2005). Contingent approaches to making likelihood judgments about polychotomous cases: The influence of task factors. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 18, 281-303. Abstract ; PDF
Chambers, J. R., & Windschitl, P. D. (2004). Biases in social comparative judgments: The role of nonmotivated factors in above-average and comparative-optimism effects. Psychological Bulletin, 130, 813-838. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., & Chambers, J. R. (2004). The dud-alternative effect in likelihood judgment. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 30, 198-215. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., Kruger, J., & Simms, E. N. (2003). The influence of egocentrism and focalism on people's optimism in competitions: When what affects us equally affects me more. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 85, 389-408. Abstract ; PDF
Chambers, J. R., Windschitl, P. D., & Suls, J. (2003). Egocentrism, event frequency, and comparative optimism: When what happens frequently is "more likely to happen to me." Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 29, 1343-1356. Abstract ; PDF
Flugstad, A., & Windschitl, P. D. (2003). The influence of reasons on interpretations of probability forecasts. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 16, 107-126. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl,
P. D., Young, M. E., & Jenson, M. E. (2002). Likelihood judgment based on
previously observed outcomes: The alternative outcomes effect in a learning
paradigm. Memory and Cognition, 30, 469-477. Abstract
; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., Martin, R., & Flugstad, A. R. (2002). Context and the
interpretation of likelihood information: The role of intergroup comparisons
on perceived vulnerability. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,
82, 742-755. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D. (2002). Judging the accuracy of a likelihood judgment: The
case of smoking risk. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 15, 19-35..
Abstract
; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., & Young, M. E. (2001). The influence of alternative outcomes on gut-level perceptions of certainty. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 85, 109-134. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D. (2000). The binary additivity of subjective probability does not indicate the binary complementarity of perceived certainty. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 195-225. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., & Weber, E. U. (1999). The interpretation of "likely" depends on the context, but "70%" is 70%--right?: The influence of associative processes on perceived certainty. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 25, 1514-1533. Abstract ; PDF
Wells, G. L., & Windschitl, P. D. (1999). Stimulus sampling and social psychological experimentation. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 25, 1115-1125. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., & Wells, G. L. (1998). The alternative-outcomes effect. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 75, 1411-1423. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., & Wells, G. L. (1997). Behavioral consensus information affects people's inferences about population traits. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 23, 148-156. Abstract
Windschitl, P. D., & Wells, G. L. (1996). Measuring psychological uncertainty: Verbal versus numeric methods. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 2, 343-364. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D. (1996). Memory for faces: Evidence of retrieval-based impairment. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 22, 1101-1122. Abstract ; PDF
Windschitl, P. D., & Wells, G. L. (1996). Base rates do not constrain non-probability judgments. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 19, 40-41.
Seelau, E. P., Seelau, S. M., Wells, G. L., & Windschitl, P. D. (1995). Counterfactual constraints. In N. Roese & J. Olson (Eds.), What might have been: The social psychology of counterfactual thinking. (pp. 57-79). Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum.
Wells, G. L., Luus, C. A. E., & Windschitl, P. D. (1994). Maximizing the utility of eyewitness identification evidence. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 3, 194-197.
Wells, G. L., & Windschitl, P. D. (1993). What's in a question? [Review of the book Questions About Questions]. Contemporary Psychology, 38, 383-385.
Belli, R. F., Windschitl, P. D., McCarthy, T. T., & Winfrey, S. E. (1992). Detecting memory impairment with a modified test procedure: Manipulating retention interval with centrally presented event items. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, & Cognition, 18, 356-367.